Satellite Connectivity Is Becoming National Infrastructure
Direct-to-device satellite service is moving from emergency backup to a strategic layer of communications. That creates resilience—but also new dependencies governments need to secure.
Rise to Peace · Research & Analysis
Research & Analysis.
Research at Rise to Peace spans terrorism and violent extremism, international security, foreign affairs, politics, technology, information, conflict, human rights, and peacebuilding. The common standard is evidence: verify the record, add context, and make the analysis useful.
Front Page
A Warning Is Not a Defense: What Ukraine’s Air-Defense Gap Reveals
Ukraine’s warning of a possible major Russian air attack exposes a wider security problem: intelligence can identify a…
By Ahmad Shah Mohibi · 4 min
Expensive Military Power Has a Cheap-Threat Problem.
The RAF Fairford security investigation is a reminder that expensive military power can be disrupted by cheap, ambiguous…
By Ahmad Shah Mohibi · 5 min
AI Can Improve Security Cooperation. It Cannot Replace Trust.
Artificial intelligence can make security cooperation faster, more connected and more informed. But the hardest part of working…
By Ahmad Shah Mohibi · 5 minLatest
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Building Security Resilience Memo
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How Likely is Another Civil War in Afghanistan and What Would it Mean for Pakistan?
For the second time, the Taliban captured Afghanistan putting an end to what is known as the United States’ longest war in…
By Rise to Peace5 min →
Mitigating Failed Counter-Insurgency Operations in India
Recent cases of repeated failed military operations in northeastern India provoked many to question New Delhi’s approach in countering insurgency in the…
By Rise to Peace5 min →
Insurgency in India’s Northeastern Frontiers
The far northeastern frontier of India is infamous for insurgent activities which have been functioning for decades. The region is notorious for…
By Rise to Peace3 min →
President Putin’s Tsarist Imperial Nationalism
The worst-case scenario is unfolding, a full-scale air and land attack from multiple directions is striking Ukraine, and the attacks have already…
By Rise to Peace3 min →
Russia Invaded Ukraine: What Happens Next?
Russia invaded Ukraine after months of military build-up near the border and failed diplomatic talks with the West. “I have made the…
By Ahmad Shah Mohibi4 min →
Ukraine is Fearful of a Possible Attack: Emergency Call for Help
There is an urgent call for help in Ukraine as it has been under the constant threat of a possible attack. Generally,…
By Rise to Peace3 min →
Insurgency within the United States: Absurd or Inevitable?
“No one wants to believe that their beloved democracy is in decline, or headed toward war,” says Barbara F. Walter, a professor…
By Rise to Peace11 min →
An Overview of Extremism in the U.S. Military
On January 6, 2021, a violent mob of Trump supporters launched an attack on the United States Capitol. They tore through the…
By Rise to Peace8 min →
Ending Insurgency in Nigeria
October 1, 1960 was a significant moment in the history of Nigeria; finally, this nation would become an independent, self-governing entity. Accepted…
By Joan McDappa4 min →
History Replay: What’s Next for Nigeria?
One Nigeria, a phrase capable of setting off sparks depending on whom you address. Is Nigeria one? Or is this merely wishful…
By Joan McDappa4 min →
Bashar al-Assad’s Impact on Syria
Bashar al-Assad has been Syria’s president for the last 21 years, since he took power on July 17th, 2000. This year, on…
By Rise to Peace4 min →
Resisting Russia: Ukraine on the Verge of a Far-Right Insurgency
An unclassified U.S. intelligence document, first reported on December 3rd by The Washington Post, revealed that Russia is planning a massive military…
By Rise to Peace5 min →
A Tale of Two Withdrawals: What the U.S. Can Learn from the Israeli Withdrawal from Lebanon
On August 15th, 2021, Taliban fighters captured Kabul without firing a shot, sending shock waves across the world and expediting the United…
By Rise to Peace4 min →
Is Boko Haram on the verge of defeat?
Over the last few months the Nigerian armed forces have enjoyed a series of military victories against Boko Haram, who have also…
By Rise to Peace4 min →
Afghan Interpreters, the Peace Process, and the Future of Indigenous Support for US Combat Operations
As the United States prepares for its withdrawal from Afghanistan, discussions have continued about the fate of Afghan interpreters who played a…
By Rise to Peace4 min →
The Crisis in Cabo Delgado: A Familiar Road to Extremism
This is the second piece in a series examining the ongoing extremist threat in Mozambique. Cabo Delgado, the northernmost region of Mozambique,…
By Stefan Bakumenko4 min →
The Crisis in Cabo Delgado: A Region that Perseveres
This is the first piece in a series examining the ongoing extremist threat in Mozambique. On March 24th, Islamist insurgents besieged the…
By Stefan Bakumenko5 min →
The Security Threats to Afghanistan and its Problematic Shift to Peace
As the conflict status for Afghanistan resides on worsening, there has never been more reasonable grounds for troops to patrol and protect…
By Rise to Peace4 min →
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